Anticipating a colder winter than usual: season 2022 - 2023

Southern California Weather Force has unveiled its final forecast for the 2023-2024 El Nino season, bringing a unique perspective to the table. In a world where predictions often lean towards a “wet season,” this forecast paints a different picture.

Despite the expectations of a strong El Nino, the Southern California Weather Force is standing firm on its preliminary forecast, suggesting a season with storms predominantly moving northward and delivering robust Santa Ana Wind Events. In a bold move, they’re going against the grain, predicting an average to below-average season, quite the opposite of last year’s La Nina forecast which fell short of expectations.

The message here is clear: no sugar coating. Predicting the weather isn’t a one-size-fits-all scenario, and it’s not always possible to promise what everyone hopes for. The focus shifts to a super cold season, and if history is any indicator, the season of 1912-1913 provides a glimpse into what might lie ahead.

Despite the current warmth, this forecast anticipates a rapid change. An appetizer comes in the form of a Santa Ana Wind Event between October 24th and 27th, followed by another warm period. The real cold snap is expected from mid-November to Thanksgiving, with the coldest periods predicted around New Years, January, and early February.

The season is likely to bring a series of thunderstorms due to changes in upper-level temperatures. To sum it up, Southern California seems poised for a season that defies the El Nino norm, with rainfall predicted to be around average to slightly below, keeping the region from becoming excessively dry. However, brace for record-breaking cold temperatures and be prepared for some severe weather events during the strongest storms, even down to low elevations.

For those in the agricultural sector, it’s advisable to keep an eye on future forecasts, as the implications for the Central Valley, particularly Kern and above, could be significant.

This forecast offers a unique perspective, and as the season progresses, it will be interesting to see how these predictions play out. For further updates and discussions, be sure to join the Southern California Weather Force Facebook Page.

Stay tuned as we navigate this intriguing meteorological journey and witness what the 2023-2024 El Nino season has in store.